Nintendo will likely be the “primary partner for third-party game publishers” on console in five years, an analyst firm has forecast, by which time Switch 2 will have hit 100m units sold.
A fresh report on the coming year in video games – and beyond – from veteran firm DFC Intelligence states that Nintendo is likely to beat its own forecast for Switch 2 sales this year, albeit slightly.
Nintendo has said it expects to shift 15m Switch 2 consoles before 31st March 2026, though DFC forecasts Nintendo will in reality likely sell 16m – enough to say it has beat expectations. With supply chain improvements, sales could be even higher still – as many as 20m, DFC believes.
“Reflecting its historically conservative approach to new product forecasting, Nintendo is estimating sales of 15m Switch 2 units through the end of its fiscal year in March 2026,” DFC wrote in its report, shared with Eurogamer.
“When the original Switch launched in March 2017, Nintendo initially projected 10m units for the fiscal year but ultimately sold 15m units in that period. Based on that track record, the fact that Nintendo is forecasting a 15m unit number gives us confidence that they will be able to ramp up supply and navigate tariff challenges.”